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- 1/15 Trading Plan - Monday Recap
1/15 Trading Plan - Monday Recap
SPDR S&P 500 FUTURES ESH2024 & SPY ETF - Market Update
π Market Sentiment: Neutral
Market sentiment for $ESH2024 Futures is shaped by various factors, including sector rotation, inflation reports, earnings estimates, equity market outlook, and corporate earnings. These factors collectively influence investor behavior and market dynamics.
π Global Financial and Economic News:
Sector Rotation and Market Performance: A shift from Big Tech to sectors like healthcare is observed, with healthcare emerging as a strong performer. The overall market shows resilience with rallies in major indices.
Inflation Reports and Federal Reserve's Rate Cuts: Upcoming inflation readings are anticipated to influence the Federal Reserve's policy decisions, particularly regarding rate cuts.
Earnings Estimates and Market Volatility: The market's performance is expected to be closely tied to 2025 earnings expectations, with any deviations potentially causing volatility.
Equity Market Outlook: Barclays projects a more sober equity market in 2024, with potential for healthy consolidation after a significant rally.
Corporate Earnings and Financial Sector Performance: The performance of major financial institutions and companies in different sectors will provide insights into the overall market health.
π Support Levels to Watch: Key support levels for ES1! ESH2024 Futures include 4808, 4802, and 4796.
π Resistance Levels to Watch: Major resistance levels are identified at 4822, 4833, and 4860.
π Trading Plan for Thursday:
Bull Case: The focus is on maintaining key support levels, particularly 4802 and 4808, to drive upward momentum and target higher resistance levels.
Bear Case: The bearish scenario involves the failure of support levels, with a focus on potential breakdown trades and their associated risks.
Strategy: The plan emphasizes flexibility and responsiveness to market conditions, with an eye on consolidation patterns and potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. Key is to adapt to real-time market dynamics around support and resistance levels.
π Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic and subject to rapid changes. Consultation with a professional financial advisor is recommended before making trading decisions.