1/12 Trading Plan - Friday Recap

SPDR S&P 500 FUTURES ESH2024 & SPY ETF - Market Update

📊 Market Sentiment: Neutral

Market sentiment for $ESH2024 is influenced by various factors, including geopolitical tensions, upcoming major elections, economic growth forecasts, market performance predictions, inflation and job market concerns, and oil price movements.

🌍 Global Financial and Economic News:

  • Geopolitical Tensions and Elections: Ongoing conflicts and upcoming major elections in countries like the US, India, EU, and UK are closely watched for their potential impact on global markets.

  • Economic Growth Forecasts: Morgan Stanley predicts a global growth slowdown, with Europe facing minimal growth due to energy supply shocks.

  • Market Performance and Predictions: Varied predictions for major indices like the S&P 500 and the FTSE 100 indicate a mixed market outlook.

  • Inflation and Job Market Concerns: The strong U.S. job market might sustain inflationary pressures, impacting Federal Reserve's rate decisions.

  • Oil Prices and Market Movements: Rising oil prices due to geopolitical risks and mixed performance in stock markets are key factors affecting market dynamics.

📉 Support Levels to Watch: Key support levels include 4808, 4802, 4787, among others. These levels will be critical in determining potential buying points in the market.

📈 Resistance Levels to Watch: Major resistance levels are identified at 4813, 4821, 4832-34. These levels represent potential barriers where selling pressure might increase.

📅 Trading Plan for Thursday:

  • Bull Case: The focus is on maintaining key support levels, particularly 4777 and 4802, to drive upward momentum and target levels like 4845 and 4860-68.

  • Bear Case: The bearish scenario hinges on the failure of support levels, with 4777 as a critical point. Breakdown trades should be approached with caution and skill.

  • Strategy: The plan emphasizes flexibility and responsiveness to market conditions, with an eye on consolidation patterns and potential breakout or breakdown scenarios. Key is to adapt to real-time market dynamics around support and resistance levels.

🛑 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Market conditions are dynamic and subject to rapid changes. Consultation with a professional financial advisor is recommended before making trading decisions.